Roulette spins on double zero whee12/23/2023 Due to spread of odd/even and red/black and low/high it is difficult to spot if that's all you are looking for, and even if you know what to look for it is difficult to find as it's usually very close to undetectable, and if it is detectable it is very hard to exploit as they change the wheels and variance creates a lot of noise.ģ. Casino's do collect data, and switch wheels regularly.Ģ. Do you think that such an approach could mean +EV?ġ. What's the probability that a series of 8 blacks (or more) in a row will happen during the next say 221 consecutive spins? You start to chase a series of 8 blacks in a row with a Contre D'Alembert strategy. Now let's assume you watch a roulette wheel and discover that "black 8 times (or more) in a row" did not happen during 953 consecutive spins. This means, with a probability of 50% "black 8 times in a row" will happen once in 221 consecutive spins (on the average!). We said (for the case of the European wheel) that the probability of no black 8 times in a row is (19/37)^8 =~ 0.484% or about 206-to-1. One example for a big roulette gambler's fallacy at an HONEST roulette wheel:
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